{"universe":"Every token launched on Solana SPL","study_population":"Tokens entered the river (peak market cap >= $10,000)","positive_label":"Cleared the falls (peak market cap reached >= $30,000)","negative_label":"Held below (reached $10K, did not reach $30K, age >= 48 hours)","features":[{"name":"launch_hour","encoding":"sin/cos of hour-of-day (2 columns)"},{"name":"launch_dow","encoding":"one-hot day-of-week (7 columns)"},{"name":"holders","encoding":"log1p of non-zero balance token accounts at 48h"},{"name":"lore","encoding":"MiniLM-L6-v2 sentence embedding -> PCA 24 dims"},{"name":"lore_len","encoding":"word count"},{"name":"lore_missing","encoding":"binary flag"},{"name":"name_tokens","encoding":"word count"}],"capacity_d":37,"delta":0.05,"proven_floor":"min(auc_mean - epsilon_vc, bootstrap 2.5th percentile AUC)","gate_level":"clip((proven_floor - floor_auc) / (target_auc - floor_auc), 0, 1), capped at 0.95 while any lock fails","jar_level":"alias for gate_level","gate_level_cap":0.95,"locks":{"lock_samples_min":2000,"lock_cleared_min":200,"lock_stability_max":0.05,"lock_no_lookahead_max":0.04,"n_samples_min":2000,"n_positive_min":200,"auc_std_max":0.05,"time_split_gap_max":0.04},"gates":{"lock_samples_min":2000,"lock_cleared_min":200,"lock_stability_max":0.05,"lock_no_lookahead_max":0.04,"n_samples_min":2000,"n_positive_min":200,"auc_std_max":0.05,"time_split_gap_max":0.04},"target_auc":0.6,"floor_auc":0.5}